While temperatures were able to reach the mid to upper 60s on Tuesday in Southern MD, I do not think it will get that warm again in this area for the next two weeks. A long-duration stretch of unseasonably cold temperatures will dominate after Thanksgiving, making it feel like the middle of winter.
For this Wednesday, temperatures are on their way to reaching the mid 50s. Rain will overspread the area by late tonight as a storm system moves in. Thanksgiving morning will be wet with rain for much of the time. Temperatures will start off around 47-50°. Rain will clear out by early afternoon, and temperatures will head up to around 56-59° in the afternoon. It will turn windy late in the day with northwest wind gusts to 30 mph by the evening. Morning low temperatures on Friday will be in the mid 30s, with afternoon highs in the lower 50s. There will be some sunshine. The core of an arctic airmass will then overspread the area this weekend. Saturday will start off in the upper 20s, with afternoon highs barely getting to the lower 40s. While it will be sunny, a breezy west wind will keep wind chills closer to the freezing mark. Expect similar conditions for Sunday and Monday. Forecaster Jason
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Seasonably cool temperatures and windy conditions will remain in place across Southern MD this Saturday. Temperatures will head up into the mid to upper 50s with some clouds moving in by the afternoon. With northwest winds gusting to 25-30 mph, it will feel colder. Temperatures tonight will drop down to around 40°.
For Sunday, we will have a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures topping out in the upper 50s. It will still be on the breezy side, although winds will be lighter than today. With a southerly wind flow in place, daytime temperatures on Monday will nudge upward a bit to the lower 60s. A fast-moving system may bring a couple showers Monday night. While temperatures look to remain mild on Tuesday, colder air will pour in Tuesday night. Right now, computer models indicate that a storm system may arrive in our area on Thanksgiving Day. I will be watching this potential for rain. Forecaster Jason Despite the morning lows around 40°, temperatures this Monday were able to reach 70° in Southern MD. Low temperatures Monday night will be in the upper 40s to around 50°.
There will be more clouds around on Tuesday ahead of a strong system. Temperatures will top out in the low to mid 60s. A shower or two will be possible Tuesday night into Wednesday, but I do think the best chance for rain will hold off until Wednesday evening. Showers Wednesday night may be accompanied by gusty winds. Highs on Wednesday will be in the mid 60s. Cooler temperatures and windy conditions will be the story for the second half of the week. A strong low pressure system will be situated to our north, which will pull in the blustery conditions. For Thursday, temperatures look to reach the low to mid 50s with some peeks of sunshine. Winds will be around 15-25 mph during the day. Morning lows on Friday will be in the mid 30s, and afternoon highs will only be around 50°. West winds at 20-30 mph will add a chill to the air. Saturday will have similar conditions. There will be a slight chance for a passing shower both Friday and Saturday. Forecaster Jason With the persistent warmth and dry conditions now gone, we are starting to get into a more active weather pattern. A storm system moving in from the west will spread rain into Southern MD this Thursday afternoon, with rain arriving between 2-4PM. This will be much-needed rain, as we remain in a Severe Drought. The statewide burn ban that began on November 1 is still in effect. Temperatures today will top out in the mid 50s.
Rain will clear out around or shortly after sunrise on Friday, with rainfall totals around one half inch. It will turn out breezy with decreasing cloud coverage during the day. High temperatures will be in the mid 50s again. Saturday will be sunny and windy as a high pressure system starts to build in. High temperatures will be around 60°, although it will feel cooler with northwest winds gusting to 30 mph. Sunday morning will be chilly, although temperatures will rebound to 60° in the afternoon. There may be some increase in clouds in the afternoon. Monday and Tuesday will be dry with mild temperatures. Current indications point to a strong storm system impacting the region towards the end of next week. Forecaster Jason Temperatures this Monday topped out in the lower 70s. A few showers rolled through earlier, and a few additional showers will be possible later tonight. Tuesday, we will still be locked in the long-duration stretch of onshore winds. Combined with a storm system to our west, it will be another day with considerable cloud coverage along with a few occasional showers. High temperatures will be in the lower 70s.
Low chances for rain will continue Wednesday, although there will be a better chance for some sunshine. Temperatures look to reach the mid 70s. We will be back to 80° on Thursday. For Friday into Saturday, our weather may be partly influenced by a developing hurricane in the Caribbean. While as of early Monday evening it has not become a tropical storm, most computer models suggest that it will quickly intensify over the next couple days. Major impacts to the Florida panhandle or Big Bend area are possible on Thursday. Some moisture from this tropical system may head northward into Southern MD near the end of the week, although there is uncertainty as to how far north it will extend. Meanwhile, tidal flooding from the persistent onshore winds will continue to impact areas along the Chesapeake, Patuxent, and Potomac for much of the remainder of this week. Forecaster Jason Temperatures this Friday are on their way to reaching the mid 80s again with plenty of sunshine. As has been the case for the past 7 days, an onshore wind flow remains in place. This is leading to minor tidal flooding during times of high tide in North Beach, Solomons, and Piney Point. Tidal flooding will remain an issue through the weekend, and the National Weather Service has Coastal Flood Advisories in effect through Sunday.
Much of Saturday will be a generally pleasant day weather-wise across the area. High temperatures will be in the lower 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms in the evening, however. We may still have a few showers around on Sunday. High temperatures will be in the lower to mid 70s. Plenty of cloud coverage may linger well into next week with slight rain chances. Much of Monday and Tuesday look dry though. Forecaster Jason The stretch of dry conditions this week in the area is likely coming to an end, as a slow moving storm system will bring a return to chances for showers and thunderstorms this weekend.
For this Friday, temperatures have reached the lower 90s with some increase in humidity from the past few days. The humidity will continue increasing tonight. Saturday, expect low to moderate chances for showers and thunderstorms throughout the day. However, I do think there will be a good deal of time without any rain at a given location, so I would not count on it being a washout. Temperatures will top out in the mid 80s with a steady southerly breeze at 10-15 mph. Sunday looks to have similar conditions, although the chance for showers and thunderstorms will be slightly higher. Some chances for showers and thunderstorms will likely continue into Monday. A cold front will drive through the region Monday night, which will allow for an airmass more typical of early September to settle in for Tuesday. Forecaster Jason As of early Wednesday afternoon, Tropical Storm Debby is barely moving while situated off the South Carolina coast. Rain is continuing for coastal Georgia and South Carolina, with many locations there having already received 8-12 inches of rain.
The upper level pattern will allow Debby to resume a more northward motion by Thursday. Over the past couple days, computer models have shifted westward with its track through the Mid Atlantic heading into Friday. This would put the heaviest rain west of our area. For this Wednesday, a frontal boundary is already in place near the area, which is helping to generate showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Some thunderstorms may continue into the evening. Thursday, additional showers and thunderstorms can be expected as moisture continues to stream northward. The remnant circulation of Debby will be tracking northward through Virginia on Friday. Expect a continuation of showers and thunderstorms. There may also be a threat for an isolated tornado due to the atmospheric dynamics in place from the storm’s circulation. Saturday is now looking drier. Through Saturday morning, I am thinking Southern MD will have 1-3” of rain. Rainfall amounts may still be higher in any spots where thunderstorms may end up being more concentrated. Forecaster Jason Friday turned out to be one of the hottest day on record for August 2 in Southern MD area. While the heat will back off a bit this Saturday, it is still going to be a particularly hot and humid day with highs in the low to mid 90s. There will at least be a steady southwesterly breeze throughout the day.
The chance for late-day showers and thunderstorms is higher than the past couple days, with scattered to numerous coverage of thunderstorms expected. The best chance for storms will be during the evening. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong winds and torrential downpours that may lead to flash flooding. Hot and humid conditions will be sticking around on Sunday. Scattered thunderstorms may pop up in the afternoon or evening. I am also watching Tropical Depression #4, which formed near Cuba. This is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm, with impacts to Florida early next week. There is the potential for this system to head northward towards the Mid Atlantic later in the week. Forecaster Jason This weekend is turning out to be one of the rare weekends we have had this year with no real chances for rain. The humidity is also not as high as what we have dealt with for much of the month. Temperatures this Saturday are peaking close to 90°.
For Sunday, we will start off with morning lows in the upper 60s. It will certainly feel like summer later in the day as temperatures head into the lower 90s under sunshine. The workweek will begin with increasing humidity and a return of chances for showers and thunderstorms. This activity may be hit or miss on Monday, with a better chance on Tuesday. The most likely time would be in the afternoon and evening hours each day. Chances for showers and thunderstorms may linger into Wednesday. High temperatures will be around 90° during this time. Forecaster Jason |
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