A fairly calm 5 day period is anticipate with near to slightly above average temperatures and only 1 or 2 rainy days (even then, those days will not be a washout).
For Wednesday, expect high temps to be in the mid 40s to possible around 50 in the urban corridor. Skies will be mainly sunny and winds will be light. It will be chilly, but not terribly cold especially considering its February.
On Thursday, 95% of the day is expected to remain dry for most areas. Sure, there could be a few showers around in the afternoon, but the highest probability will be after dinner time, and possibly as late as 10pm. Off and on showers are expected overnight before tapering off sometime Friday morning. High temps in the upper 40s and low 50s are expected.
Speaking of Friday, temps should be similar to Wednesday, mainly in the mid 40s. Showers are possible in the morning, but at a minimum, the second half of the day should be mainly dry with a slight increase in sun, especially along and to the east of I-95. Winds will begin to increase a bit, likely gusting around 20mph so it will feel a bit cooler out than what the temperature reads.
Saturday should be the "coldest" day of the week with highs expected to be in the low 40s under increasingly sunny skies. Winds will be gusty, with sustained winds of 10-15 mph and gusts up to 30mph. This will make temperatures feel like the upper 30s rather than low 40s. A cold front will have already passed by that point, so no additional rain is expected.
Sunday looks to be the best of the next 5 days with mainly sunny skies and very mild temperatures by February standards. We easily should make it into the low-mid 50s. Winds will remain slightly elevated with peak gusts of 20-25mph likely. No rain is expected on Sunday similarly to Saturday.
So, here’s a look at how much snow actually fell across our area from early Saturday morning based off reports sent into NWS. In all honesty, it was a bust for just about all of us as we expected widespread 4-6" and most only had 2-4". So why did this happen?
By far, the biggest problem we faced with this storm that caused reduced totals was it’s speed. Originally, we were thinking snow would last for 5-7 hours. But many of us were lucky to have snow falling for more than 2-3 hours last night. Even if everything else was off (warm ground, dry air, lighter precip rates), had we seen the snowfall rates we had last night for the forecasted 5-7 hours, this easily would have been a 5-6” event for many of you.
Surface temperatures were also a few degrees warmer than anticipated for a longer period of time. This led to snow melting initially as the ground cooled, so it took longer for snow to accumulate in some places. And finally, the storm tracked further north than expected. We knew there would be a band of 6-8”+ of snow somewhere with this storm, but it was about 40 miles further north than expected. So instead of northern MD getting the hammer zone, it wound up in south central PA and central NJ! This is where over a foot of snow fell in some areas.
So overall, it wasn’t the best forecast we’ve done. But it certainly wasn’t the worst. One thing we didn’t do this time that we should have was paid more close attention to surface observations, and not be so laser focused on model data. That’s something we definitely will keep on mind for next time.
Forecaster Jack and the CMD team
2:35PM 2/16/24 - Here’s our final call for tonight’s snow storm.
There have been 2 big changes to the forecast. The first is that a WINTER STORM WARNING is now in effect for all areas along and NW of I-95. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY is in effect for the remainder of the area. These alerts are in effect from approximately 11pm tonight until 5am tomorrow morning (may be extended a bit).
The second was with the forecast itself. We expect a widespread 3-5” of snow area wide (slightly lower south of rt.50). Across northern MD/southern PA, a band of 5-8” of accumulation is expected, but it’s uncertain exactly where this will set up. Right now, the highest likelihood is along the Mason Dixon line.
This storm will likely feature a few bands of locally heavier snow, which can increase snow totals in some areas, while sinking air on either side of the band decreases totals in other areas. It’s impossible to know exactly where this will occur at this range but we will monitor this. Within these bands, lightning strikes are possible leading to thundersnow.
For impacts, they will be most significant overnight. By 7-8am, snow will be ending or already ended and with high sun angles, melting will be rapid on concrete surfaces. We expect all roads to be clear by tomorow afternoon at the latest. If traveling tonight, use extreme caution as visibility may drop below 1/2 mile with snowfall rates of 1-2” per hour.
Now that Tuesdays storm is gone, let’s look to the Friday and Saturday timeframe. A clipper system on Thursday will provide a fresh shot of cold air, with lows overnight Thursday and Friday night in the upper 20s to low 30s.
A second clipper, possibly a bit stronger, will arrive overnight Friday into Saturday morning. It appears that we will be cold enough to support snow in our area, as temps during this time will be between 29 and 33 degrees. But the track is uncertain, and that will determine how much moisture is available to produce snow.
There are 2 possible scenarios, and we describe them below:
SCENARIO 1: The clipper is stronger and further north, leading to a large swath of snow across the mid Atlantic. Within this swath, a more narrow area of snow could accumulate to a few inches especially across central and northern MD where temps are colder. At this point, I would give this a 50% chance of occurring.
SCENARIO 2: The clipper is weaker and further south. So while we still would likely see some snow falling, there would certainly be less in the way of accumulation, with anything meaningful staying to our south across central VA. We would be cold, but there wouldn’t be much moisture to work with. I would give this a 40% chance of occurring.
Now I know your thinking, well that only adds up to 90%… And that’s because there is technically a 3rd possible scenario, which would be this whole thing fizzled out and we get nothing at all. I would give that a 10% chance of occurring.
Right now, we can say with moderate confidence that there is increasing potential for snow (possibly accumulating) overnight Friday into Saturday morning. It is still too early to give a first call, but we will probably be able to do that Wednesday night. For now, just stay tuned and keep your fingers crossed for more snow!
Sunny Saturday greetings from the Maryland Team! Despite our brisk conditions, we hope you are enjoying this calm pattern lately. Given this little February respite, the team has been eager to share with our readers a story about a most amazingly inspiring event we experienced over the past week here in Baltimore. The fun coincidental twist -- this event occurred right on the 20th anniversary of Foot's Forecast! More on that story to come in a separate post. But first -- what was this incredible event?
THE WEEK THAT WAS: This historic occasion (for us) was our team's participating in the 104th national conference of the American Meteorological Society - right here in downtown Baltimore! Starting last Saturday right through to this past Thursday, several of our forecasters attended the conference, met up with a number of our former forecasters, meteorologists and advisors from around the country. Even better, we went to presentations given by many former student members who are now Meteorologists, Ph.D.s, Emergency Managers and more. Talk about fun & surreal! Suffice to say, this is the largest meteorology conference in the country and across the world. That we could take part and gain life-changing experiences from professionals in our industry, was humbling and thrilling to say the least.
PART 1 - HOW IT ALL STARTED? Going all the way back to summer, our team had been planning to have a booth at the Severe Weather Conference in Richmond. At this event in November, we began finalizing plans for the AMS 2024 event. Before we could turn around to check on each other, Saturday January 27th had arrived! Over 600 university students pursuing Meteorology degrees and many other fields were present - and ours launched at the "Conversations with Professionals" including our region's very own Ava Marie from WBAL. How inspiring it was to be in the room as Ava fielded questions from students about what it's like to be an on air broadcast meteorologist, and shared her story about working through the profession. It was one of a dozen sessions students could attend to gain insight and network.
PART 2 - THE STUDENT OUTREACH. How does one plan to receive over a hundred students to your exhibit hall booth? Why with Fruit Snacks & FF Pens of course! Both Saturday and Sunday evening, the Maryland team setup and hosted our outreach table at the Student Career Fair. We were visited by well over 100 prospective students, professors, and colleagues in the private sector. We even learned about how former forecasters had been hired by private companies like WeatherWorks in New Jersey or the National Weather Service in other states! Into Sunday, we were fortunate to interview several intriguing Meteorology student prospects who would be valuable new members of the growing Mid-Atlantic team and beyond.
Our visitors included those in the conference who had served on the FF team going back to 2012 - such as Forecast Advisor/Meteorologist Shundra Stewart from Mississippi - now in Emergency Management. Then we were visited by Veronica Johnson, the Chief Meteorologist from WJLA who gave her time to outline tips on overcoming stage fright for future broadcast mets. We started thinking - who are we going to meet next? We also realized -- maybe we should try to bring our former band members back together for a dinner?
PART 3 - THE LIFE CHANGING CONFERENCE. (As you see by now, this story is being narrated by me, Forecaster Jack, with some tidbits from Advisor Rich Foot). Here's how it truly was life-changing. The wide-ranging sessions, led by amazing speakers, covered wildfire management, severe weather, flooding risks, climate resilience planning, business continuity and so much more. Starting Monday and for several days after-- Forecasters Zach,Badders at Millersville and Jason Mitchell from Southern MD and I attended different sessions together and separately at times. This allowed us time to find, meetup & connect with presenters who had been well-known forecasters. Jason found Dakota Smith after his presentation on Satellite Imagery of Major Global Weather Events. Dakota is now at Colorado State University's Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) (https://www.cira.colostate.edu/) and was one of the "original 6" of the 2009-10 Maryland Team.
Jason also reunited with meteorologist Bob Ryan formerly from NBC4 whom many of you from this region know well from the past. It turns out other MD team members had professional papers or sessions presented by their colleagues, including former forecaster Mike Natoli from Harford County, now at the NWS in Cheyenne, WY. The final day of the conference was highlighted by a truly stunning 2-hour conversation with Dr. Ken Pryor, NOAA Meteorologist at the Satellite Services Division. How interesting it was to share our different experiences we both had in an event, such as managing severe weather, forecasting techniques and how our team engages the public via student outreach. In fact, we are even considering their offer of some tours to NOAA/NWS facilities some time later (when there's very little "weather" going on
Another exciting meet up was after former forecaster Joey Krastel’s presentation from MEMA on a new statewide data observing and reporting network he developed over the past years at the state.
THE FINALE -- THE MULTI-STATE TEAM DINNERS. Atmospheric patterns managed to align long enough for us to arrange two team dinner meetups. It's a miracle we were able to corral some really busy people from all over Maryland to join in dinner Monday night, including Forecasters Zach, Jason, Advisors Ira, Alan, Rich and his wife Dana and myself. Then, a second dinner of U.S. Team Advisors miraculously happened on Tuesday night, including Jason Advisors Shundra from MS, former forecaster Mark Ingalls from Washington State (now a Meteorologist), Forecast Advisor Jason Media Specialist Evan Schiesser from MD who was the original student member from 2009.
Phew! What a story and that's just the highlights. The bigger picture is how this event for us represents the collaboration, passion and innovation of all those who came before us going back to January 26, 2004 -- and the impact all these people have had on our lives over the past 20 years. Going into this 20th anniversary celebration year we are sure will be marked by more team get togethers, merch for FF members - and hopefully even all of you too! The next big thing? When the next version of this story is written to mark our 21st year -- from the AMS 2025 Conference in New Orleans, LA, -- you -- or someone you know will be the lead feature. Maybe it's someone who's a weather enthusiast - or a high school student - or a college student - or even a new professional or a educator.
WHAT IT ALL REALLY MEANS: This conference was another big chapter in the FF story we all share -- about people leveraging their passion for science, weather and safety to make a difference, while hoping we can support the effort to save lives and protect property like all our colleagues across the weather world. If you'd like more information about becoming a part of that story - we invite your interest in a message to us via firstname.lastname@example.org. Looking back on this event, and their stories now, just imagine where yours might take you!
Forecaster Jack, Forecaster Zach, Forecaster Jason, Forecaster Ira
Jolene Wagner, Meteorologist
Advisor Rich, Advisor Alan, Advisor Keith,
and the Maryland Team of Foot's Forecast
10:00AM 1/5/24 - Winter storm update and second call on snow accumulations:
The newest in from NWS is a WINTER STORM WARNING for Carroll, Frederick, and Washington counties from 10am until 10pm Saturday. While it goes till 10pm, it’s very likely to be canceled early as we switch to rain.
There is also a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY in effect for NW Montgomery, NW Howard, NW Baltimore, and NW Harford. This is also in effect from 10am until 10pm, but again will be canceled early as we switch to rain.
York and Adams county are under a winter storm watch, but will be upgraded to a warning soon.
We have slightly increased our snowfall forecast for northern areas, with 3-5” now expected along and north of Parr’s ridge in Carroll county, from Frederick northward in Frederick county, and extreme northern Baltimore county. In northern York and Adams county, 5-8” of snow is expected. Elsewhere NW of I-95, a trace to 3” is expected depending on your location.
Timing has sped up a bit as well. We expect precip to start between 7am and 9am near the DC metro, 9am-11am between the DC metro and Westminster-Baltimore, and after 11am north of there. Snow is likely at the onset, and may be moderate to heavy at times especially north of I-70. Everyone will likely switch to rain by 4pm if not sooner.
As far as impacts go, they should be fairly limited as many main roads have been treated, and most accumulations should be washed away by evening. That said, some back and neighborhood roads may be snow covered particularly in northern MD. Along and SE of I-95, little to no accumulation is expected so no impacts other than wet roads.
sloppy mess of a storm for saturday, still some uncertainty but its not looking good for snow lovers...
Good afternoon! Today, we have a much more detailed post for you with 3 possible scenarios as to how this storm could play out. But first, lets talk about what we know and what we don't know.
We know that this storm has ample moisture. Liquid equivalents (QPF) are between 1/2" and 1". We know that the storm will have a tight gradient between who gets all rain and who gets accumulating snow. We also know that the last 48 hours have not shown a great trend for snow lovers, which is why we still have not put out a first call. We also know that areas SE of I-95 are more than likely getting just rain.
We don't know the exact track yet. We also don't know exactly where the rain snow line will set up, which will have big implications when it comes to potential accumulations. We also don't know exact timing yet, though it seems to have sped up, now looking more like the precip will start late morning or early afternoon on Saturday and finish late evening.
For now, NWS keeps area NW of I-95 in an enhanced risk for accumulating snow seen below
As far as scenarios go, there are 3:
Scenario 1: This is the most likely outcome as of now based off the latest trends. This scenario brings in the storm the earliest, the furthest NW, and the weakest. This would mean a brief period of snow for areas NW of I-95 before changing at least to a mix, if not all rain. There could be minor accumulations NW of the 95 corridor, but not much with this scenario, which has a 60% chance of occurring at this point.
Scenario 2: This is the 2nd most likely scenario, which is what models showed a few days ago. This leads to a further off shore track, slightly stronger system, and a start time late in the evening with the heaviest overnight. If this were to occur, then heavy snow would spread as far east as cities such as Manchester, Mount Airy, and Damascus, with moderate snow to the I-95 corridor. More substantial accumulations would be possible with this type of scenario, and we give this a 30% chance of occurring.
Scenario 3: This is the least likely scenario, which puts the heaviest snow right over the I-95 corridor, with moderate snow as far east as the eastern shore. In order for this to happen, we would need a track well off shore, much colder air, and a stronger system, but that is not likely to happen. Major snow accumulations would occur with this, but its only a 10% chance of occurring, meaning there is a 90% chance this DOESNT occur.
All in all, it seems the best chance of snow will be in extreme northern and western MD and into southern and central PA where a few to several inches could fall. Its very likely that most of our area only sees minor accumulations NW of 95, with just rain to the SE. We will fine tune the forecast over the coming days and will issue a first call Thursday AM after the next set of model data comes in.
Forecaster Jack and the CMD team.
As many of you have probably heard, there is a potential winter storm on the horizon for this weekend. That said, there is considerable uncertainty regarding the track of the storm which will have major implications on the exact forecast of snow vs rain and any potential accumulations. This post will analyze model data and show 2 potential outcomes for this storm system, as well as share what we do and don't know.
The image above is the 12z run of the GFS model for Sunday at 7am. Previously, this has shown the heaviest snow along and NW of the I-95 corridor. However, there has been a notable trend southward with this latest run, with the heaviest snow south of I-70 and into southern MD. Whether or not this is a trend is unknown as it has only been 1 run of the model.
As far as temperatures go, most of the region is near or below freezing on the GFS, with temps in the 30-33 degree range. While not ideal, its certainly cold enough for snow especially with heavy precipitation rates. This is due to high pressure to our north funneling in colder air, and favorable temperatures at about 5,000 feet which look to be well below freezing on the GFS.
This image above is the EURO model for 10pm Saturday night. This model has been consistently showing a swath of heavy snow across central and northern MD. Additionally, the EURO has historically been more accurate than the GFS, so I am more keen to lean towards the EURO.
For temperatures, they are a bit warmer to start, but then cool to at or just below freezing as heavy precipitation results in dynamic cooling. Even with temps hovering near freezing, snow should stick fairly easily as the temperatures at 5,000 feet are also well below freezing.
The final model we will show is the NBM probability map. This image above shows the probability of 4 or more inches based off a blend of models, which is a good way to look at things this far out. The highest probability remains NW of I-95. The probability in those areas is 30-40%, which is fairly high for this far out and bears watching closely.
Courtesy goes to Tomer Burg for these amazing NBM graphics.
Now that we have gone through the model data, lets talk about what we do know vs what we don't know.
What we know is that there will be a storm near the coast late on Saturday and into Sunday. There is potential for significant accumulating snow, a wintry mix, or all rain depending on the track. What we don't know is what the exact track will be, where the rain snow line will set up, or how much accumulation there will be.
We are still 5 days out, with plenty of time for change, and it is WAY too early to start throwing out model snowfall accumulations or official snowfall forecasts. For now, please stay tuned to the forecast and pay attention to any changes that WILL occur over the coming days. We should have much more confidence as we head into Wednesday afternoon.
APRIL 1ST SEVERE WEATHER AND POST FRONTAL DAMAGING WINDS.
On April 1st, a very strong cold front intersected an unusually unstable airmass across northern and central MD during the evening. This resulted in rapidly developing severe thunderstorms that produced large hail and damaging winds. Severe thunderstorm warnings were issued across northern and northcentral MD as repots of hail up to quarter size and winds over 50mph became common.
Below is a radar screenshot of the storms at about 6:05pm:
Immediately after the storms passed, a surge of cold and dry air rushed in resulting in very high pressure gradient winds across the area. NWS had already issued a high wind warning in advance of these winds which is fairly uncommon as confidence was high in winds gusting to at least 60mph.
Widespread wind gusts of 50-60mph occurred with some gusts even over 65mph in a few isolated areas. This resulted in numerous trees and powerlines being blown down and many power outages. Some of the highest wind gusts were 52mph in Mount Airy, 68mph in Woodsboro, 63mph at BWI, 65mph in Cabin John, and 62mph in Upper Marlboro.
Below is a screenshot from the NWS Sterling site of recorded wind gusts that day:
april 22nd severe weather event (2 tornadoes)
During the mid afternoon on April 22nd, a line of severe storms tracked through our area as a cold front moved in. These storms produced numerous instances of wind damage especially in the Baltimore metro, as well as 2 confirmed tornadoes. One was in Poolesville, and the other was in Fallston.
Below is a radar screenshot of the line of storms moving through MD at about 2:30pm:
Two tornadoes also occurred as a result of this squall line.
The first was in southwestern Montgomery county near Poolesville. This tornado developed in the bookend vortex portion of the line of storms. It was rated EF0 with winds of around 75mph. The tornado was on the ground for about 1 minute and traveled only 100 yards resulting in primarily tree damage.
A second tornado was confirmed to have touched down in Fallston up in Harford county (although the tornado actually first touched down in extreme eastern Baltimore county) along the leading edge of the line of storms. This tornado was rated EF0 as well, also containing winds of 75mph. However this one traveled much further, at just under 7 miles. Damage consisted again of mainly trees but some powerlines and structures did sustain damage as well.
early june canadian wildfire smoke
Over the summer, several bouts of wildfire smoke from Canada was brought into our area due to winds aloft from the NW. The worst of it by far was in early June. During this time, visibility was reduced significantly in some areas, and code red air quality alerts were issued for the first time since 2011.
Much of our area saw AQI (air quality index) values climb into the 250-400 ppm range, which is extremely unhealthy and hazardous. For reference, it's considered unhealthy for sensitive groups when the AQI exceeds 50-100 ppm, so our values were off the charts. In fact the smoke was so thick that without a mask, it was difficult to breath and you would feel a burning sensation in your eyes and throat.
You can see in the image below of satellite captured on June 6th just how widespread the smoke was all across the east coast. Luckily by the end of June and into July, winds shifted more southerly and rain became more frequent, clearing the air of the dense smoke.
late july severe winds due to microbursts (mount airy and dc metro)
The last week of July featured atmospheric conditions favorable for the development of microbursts. Very hot and humid conditions along with dry air aloft and approaching cold front set the stage for very strong downburst winds in scattered severe thunderstorms. This happened on several occasions over the summer, but 2 days in particular had very notable ones.
The first one occurred in Mount Airy on the 28th. A small storm cell rapidly intensified and grew in size as it tracked through western Montgomery county and into southern Carroll county where it produced extensive tree and powerline damage from Mount Airy into Winfield. After surveying the damage, I estimated that winds reached 70-75mph in much of the damaged areas, with a few spots seeing peak winds around 90mph.
The image below is the approximate location of the microburst that impacted Mount Airy along with damage reports.
On July 29th, another series of microbursts impacted the DC metro, including Montgomery, PG and Anne Arundel counties with recorded wind gusts as high as 84mph in DC. A line of severe thunderstorms developed first near Dulles Airport, before moving rapidly east into the immediate DC metro and eventually into south central Maryland.
These storms resulted in widespread 50-60mph winds, but several microbursts embedded within the line of storms produced wind gusts of 75-90mph, equivalent to a category 1 hurricane. These winds resulted in significant and widespread wind damage across the metro area and into PG/AA counties as well.
august 7th severe weather outbreak
We first mentioned the possibility of severe weather for August seventh all the way back on August 3rd. Confidence grew substantially on the 5th as it became clear we were in for a major severe weather outbreak in just 48 hours. On August 7th, SPC upgraded our area to an extremely rare MODERATE RISK (level 4/5) for severe weather. This was the first time they have done that in over a decade (last time was June 13th 2013), and so we sent out a very strongly worded message that this was going to be a very rough afternoon and evening.
The worst of the weather was focused across northern MD where a bow echo produced wind gusts of 70-90mph and widespread major wind damage. Hundreds of trees were blown down and dozens of powerlines were snapped in downtown Westminster trapping cars underneath for hours. A rare destructive tagged severe thunderstorm warning was issued for part of this bow echo as well, urging people to treat this like a tornado warning due to the extreme nature of the wind.
Additionally, hail as large as tennis balls fell in Washington county, and 2 tornadoes were confirmed in our viewing area. The first was in extreme northern Carroll county and traveled into southern York county, and the second was in eastern York county. These tornadoes occurred as the supercell from Washington county merged with the bow echo resulted in an enhanced area of spin within the line of storms.
December 18th nor easter
On December 18th, a very strong area of low pressure tracked up the east coast bringing rain and wind to our area. The area of low pressure strengthened to 983mb, which while not as intense as what models showed, was still very strong and brought significant rain and wind impacts to our region.
Rain developed on the 17th and became very heavy overnight as the storm system moved north closer to our area. In total, most areas saw between 2 and 3 inches of rain with some localized amounts up to 5" observed as well. This did result in numerous flood warnings overnight with several instances of flooding as well.
The image below shows some of the reported rainfall totals across our area from NWS Sterling.
There was also a strong wind component to this storm. As it pulled away and intensified, its pressure gradient tightened over our area. This allowed strong winds to develop and a wind advisory was issued. Many areas saw winds gusting as high as 50mph, with locally higher gusts as well in a few spots.
Some of the highest recorded gusts were 59mph in Sabillasville, 55mph in Cabin John, 51mph in Clarksville, and 47mph at BWI Airport. Because of how wet the ground was, it was much easier for trees to fall and several thousand customers were without power during this wind event. Strong winds of 40-45mph also continued into Tuesday the 19th as the area of low pressure was still over New England with a tight pressure gradient overhead.
The image below shows some of the peak wind gusts across our area from NWS Sterling.
Of course there were other smaller events this year that were impactful, but these are the ones we feel had the highest and/or most widespread impacts to our region.
VERY heavy rainfall is expected Sunday night into very early Monday morning. Rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour are possible as the area of low pressure moves up the coast over the DelMarVa. This will result in widespread 2-3" rainfall amounts with a chance for some 3-4" amounts as well, particularly across central MD. This will likely result in some flooding of creeks, streams, and low lying areas. For this reason, a FLOOD WATCH has been issued for most of our area (Carroll county and points east). I expect the heaviest rain to fall from 9pm until 4am Sun night/Mon morning.
Below is the NWS rainfall forecast from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.
In addition, strong winds are likely behind this system Monday morning, with the strongest being from 6am until 12pm. This is when gusts could top 40-45mph, locally up to 50mph in some spots. While a wind advisory may be needed, the short duration is more likely to prompt a special weather statement.
I want to emphasize the risk of falling trees with this event. There is a higher than normal risk of downed trees because the strongest winds will come after the heavy rain has saturated the soil. The ground will be very wet and that will make it easier for trees to fall. This may also impact the morning commute on Monday because some trees may block roads and there could also be scattered power outages if trees fall on powerlines.
If you live in an area that is wooded or near large trees, consider staying in the lower levels of your home during this time. Everyone should keep their phones charged, and prepare for some power outages.
The image below is an estimation from the HRRR model of potential wind gusts Monday morning at 9am.